Private Draft · version 5
Over or under 4.5 full-course restart replays during the Ironman 450 broadcast?
Race Round · Ironman National · 450 broadcast · Numeric threshold
Fail-closed validation
12 of 12 completePublication Readiness
✓
DefinitionQuestion, short description, and fixed $1.00 / $0.00 PLAY settlement unit complete
✓
Owner, subjects & horizonRace Round · Ironman National · 450 broadcast · 1 structured subjects · Race Night
✓
Outcome set2 ordered outcomes with valid Numeric threshold shape and unique stable identities
✓
Opening Probabilities100.000% total · exact 100.000% required
✓
Liquidity ProfileStandard
✓
ScheduleOpen precedes no-later-than Close and expected resolution
✓
Objective CloseIronman 450 broadcast observation window ends · Designated scorer records the broadcast end prospectively
✓
Resolution evidenceManual Scoring Record · designated Ironman 450 broadcast archive · locator, capture, and revision behavior complete
✓
Resolution termsResolution, tie, DNS/DNF, and ambiguity rules complete
✓
Postponement RuleComplete
✓
Void RuleComplete
✓
Season Trading WindowNo overlapping Season window
Schedule & lifecycleDraft → Scheduled → automatic Open
- Opens
- Aug 29 · 8:00 AM MST
- Objective Close
- Ironman 450 broadcast observation window ends
- No-later-than Close
- Aug 29 · 4:30 PM MST
- Expected resolution
- Aug 29 · 5:00 PM MST